From Challenge
# 65 January-February 2001
"The two-state
formula has become an impossibility."
The Solution: An Internationalist
Perspective
Yacov Ben Efrat
THE AL-AKSA Intifada erupted because Palestinians, despairing
of negotiations as a path to their national aims, chose to confront Israel
on the streets. Within Fatah (the main organization in the PLO) grass-roots
leaders have proclaimed that the fight will go on until Israel withdraws
from all territories conquered in 1967, including those in Jerusalem. This
recourse to arms raises an obvious question. If negotiations cannot achieve
Palestinian goals, how can violence do so - when Israel is so much stronger?
It was the PLO, in the person of Yasser Arafat, that laid arms aside
twelve years ago by abjuring the Palestinian Covenant. This happened in
Geneva a few days after the (premature) declaration of statehood on November
15, 1988. The retreat served as downpayment in return for America's agreement
to recognize the PLO and open a dialogue with it. The voiding of the covenant
signified an adjustment of aims: the goal, from now on, would be to establish
a state in the West Bank and Gaza, a mere fifth of Mandatory Palestine.
Twelve years have passed since the turnabout at Geneva, and it is now clear
that this approach has not bred a viable, independent Palestinian state,
but rather an entity dependent on the interests of America and Israel.
Arafat and the PLO today have neither program nor direction. Shall we say
then that they were cheated?
Not at all. When they opted for negotiations from a position of obvious
weakness, they did so in full awareness of the implications. The main current
in the PLO, a.k.a. the Tunisian branch, wanted an agreement that would
save it from political exile and financial ruin. The Oslo Accord was designed
to enable Arafat and his colleagues to set up the kind of regime that could
feather their nests. From the beginning, the PA established itself as a
corrupt dictatorship, mouthing nationalist jargon in order to calm the
angry masses while, from the other side of its mouth, spouting White House
jargon to keep the donations coming.
Today, when the armed struggle proceeds without strategy or plan, and
the "way of negotiations" has brought the PA to the end of its tether,
the leadership finds itself having to choose between, on the one hand,
its people and their national rights, and on the other, strategic and economic
relations with the Occupier. At this critical moment, the regime has suddenly
remembered that it is part of the Arab world, and it reaches out toward
the latter as to a lifeline. Seven years ago the situation was quite different.
Then the same leadership jumped on the Oslo wagon, in disregard of its
Arab neighbors. Although Syria and Lebanon both had territorial disputes
with Israel, it sought a quick, separate fix for itself. It will not save
itself now, however, by embracing Brother Arab. The situation of other
Arab regimes is not so different from its own. All are in danger.
Just how unstable the Arab world is can be seen from the behavior of
Saudi Arabia during the new intifada. This kingdom, which since its birth
has been an agent of Western imperialism, has today become the most extreme
critic of Israel. Yet despite the Saudi proclamations at the recent summit
in Cairo on October 21, the Saudis offered no alternative that would free
the Arab world from the yoke-like American aegis. Saddam Hussein's survival
in the face of US power, together with Hizbullah's success in expelling
Israel from South Lebanon, have led the Arab peoples to believe anew in
alternatives other than surrender. Their regimes must take the new mood
into account. Till now, however, they have aimed no higher than to persuade
Washington to recognize their internal difficulties, if it wants to preserve
its own interests.
The national
project in the era of globalization
When Arafat declared the Palestinian covenant void ("C'est caduc," said
he), he expressed a mood that then suffused the Palestinian national movement.
The same ideological exhaustion permeated other national liberation movements,
all of which retreated as the Soviet Union fell apart. This pro-Soviet
bloc was left without influence or ideology to counter the imperialist
camp. The liberation movements could see no way of achieving national independence
without political and financial backing from a great power.
When the Palestinian leadership decided to abandon the progressive principles
it had adopted in the late sixties, joining the American camp instead,
a number of explanations were offered, the gist of which was as follows:
The US rules the world today. We haven't the power to change this fact.
The Arab regimes did not come to our aid during the siege of Beirut, and
although we held out for two months, we couldn't do so indefinitely. The
withdrawal from Lebanon put an end to our armed struggle, because we lost
our territorial base. Instead, the struggle passed to the West Bank and
the Gaza Strip, where it took the form of the intifada. After two years
or so, however, given their isolation and economic hardship, the forces
of the interior wearied. No one was left with sufficient armed force to
achieve the independence we long for. The truth is somewhat different.
Through the entire period of the first intifada, the Palestinian leadership
in Tunis was busy taking the very same course that Egypt had under Sadat:
to achieve national goals by wedding itself to American interests, instead
of combating them.
The turn to the opposing camp was coated in honeyed words: We must learn
to think in modern concepts and adopt new methods. We cannot ignore the
dramatic accomplishments of capitalism in Southeast Asia, compared to the
failures of the Eastern European countries that depended on the Soviet
Union.
In this light, the Palestinian leaders no longer presented the conflict
with Israel as a life-and-death struggle against the theft of land and
resources, but rather as a psychological problem: changing the image one
has of the other, building trust and cooperation, creating a culture of
peace and friendship. The Palestinians leaders now appeared as cooperative
pupils, seeking instruction in development from modern, industrial Israel.
Mere politics was understood to inhibit economic progress: political discourse
gave way to the language of hi-tech. It is no accident that Muhammad Rashid,
economic advisor to Arafat, took the number-two position in the leadership.
Virtually unknown among his own people, but a household figure to Israeli
moguls, Rashid has been the person most responsible for the economic debacle
in which the Palestinians are presently caught. (On Rashid and his partners,
see Challenge # 60.)
It soon became apparent, however, that the Information Revolution has
in no way cancelled the harsh rules of capitalism. Instead of serving humanity
as a whole by closing economic gaps, the new technology has tended to marginalize
the have-nots. This process is evident too in the relations between Israel
and the Occupied Territories. The Israeli economy has become part of the
global system; thanks to international investment, its hi-tech component
has grown, until recently, by leaps and bounds. On the Palestinian side,
in contrast, the standard of living has declined by 30% from its miserable
state in the last years of direct Occupation. This economy today depends
on two factors (both nullified by the new intifada): the export of day-labor
and donations from abroad.
Palestine is not the only land that has suffered from economic decline
after exalting the "private sector". Although political climates vary widely,
the same trend is visible in many countries. Consider, for example, South
Africa. It fulfilled the commandments of the World Bank, privatized its
economy and hamstrung the unions. Fearing to shake the foundations of the
earlier, apartheid economy, South Africa chose to collaborate with white
capital. The result is a national economy that fails to benefit the blacks.
Poverty and crime have risen. The spread of AIDS is an indicator: the disease
afflicts a fifth of the nation's black children. In general, liberation
falters where capitalism co-opts the nationalists. If we look back to the
countries that sought liberation in the period after World War II, we see
that the nationalist bourgeoisie, while leading the fight against colonialism,
shaped its program to suit the interests of the poverty-stricken farmers.
The struggles of that time took on a progressive hue, which appeared in
the economic goals. National leaders such as Nehru, Nasser and Nyrere saw
the re-distribution of land and the nationalization of industry as essential
foundations for an egalitarian economy.
Today's global capitalist order, however, has no place for progressive
nationalism. What remains is reactionary. The bourgeoisie sells the interests
of the majority in order to increase its monopolies. The national project
turns into that of a single class. Where convenient, this project also
dons religious garb. The Americans or the Saudis fund such movements in
order to weaken any remaining allies of the erstwhile Soviet camp. So it
is for example, with the Bosnians, the Albanians, or the peoples around
the Caspian Sea, whom the US is now employing in order to diminish Russian
influence.
A Palestinian
state beside Israel?
Under present circumstances, the idea of a viable independent Palestinian
state in the West Bank and Gaza Strip is an impossibility. It is not just
international capitalism that has made it so, but also the Zionist attitude
toward the Palestinians. Despite almost a decade of agreements and military
cooperation between Israel and the PA, the Israelis have not managed to
change their basic view of the Palestinians. They still see them as an
inferior species, lacking the rights that they, the Israelis, have.
This attitude received full expression in the Oslo Accord, an agreement
that Israel made not with the Palestinian people, rather with its co-opted
bourgeoisie. At Oslo, the principle determining what the Palestinians would
get was not based on their rights as defined by the UN resolutions. It
was based, instead, on two considerations: first, what Israel could dispense
with in any case, and second, the minimum Arafat needed in order to stay
in power. Israel gave him so little, however, that the Territories finally
exploded. Strangely, despite the al-Aqsa intifada, the Israelis have not
ceased to view the PA as an ally in combating Islamic fundamentalism. Nor
have they ceased to view the Palestinian areas as a protectorate both for
selling their goods and buying cheap labor. As long as the PA clings to
America as its principal patron, Israel can go on holding the Palestinian
leadership hostage.
The solution
Although it remains Arab-blind, Israel has understood that it lacks a military
solution to the intifada. It has also seen that there is no hope of persuading
the Palestinian people to accept subjection.
Nevertheless, we have a situation where Israel, by settling 150,000
of its citizens in the Territories, has practically annexed the latter.
The settlements, together with the network of roads joining them to Israel
and to each other, have fragmented the West Bank. Israel does not want
to re-occupy the Palestinian areas, even if anarchy arises there. On the
other hand, she doesn't want to see a real Palestinian state - that is,
a state so independent and economically strong that it could depart from
her orbit. Israel finds herself, therefore, without a real solution for
the Territories.
The two-state solution is no longer realistic - not because the Palestinian
people rejects it, but because there are no serious forces inside Israel
supporting such a state next door. Nor is it reasonable to think that a
weak Palestinian pseudo-state can possibly thrive in peaceful co-existence
beside a nation more highly developed than all others in the region put
together. In other words: capitalist Israel does not leave room for an
independent Palestine. The reader will ask: If there is no way to live
in peace with Israel, what remains? To destroy her? For the same reason
that it is impossible to co-exist with her, it is impossible to destroy
her: There is an enormous imbalance of force. It was recognition of this
fact, indeed, that led Egypt and certain other Arab states to set out on
the path of peacemaking. So today in the Arab world, there are popular
outcries for war, but the regimes meet them with clear and firm refusal.
Conditions, they explain, are not ripe.
If the solution is neither peace nor war, where then shall we find it?
The key is to understand the political and economic processes that are
underway in our region. We need to step back for a moment from the kind
of narrow national thinking that distinguishes between the fate of the
homeland and that of humanity as a whole. Capitalist globalization has
created rules that enable the wealthy few to prey on the destitute many.
The same process, however, may well serve to unite the victims!
The collapse of the Soviet Union gave rise to a delusion, among the
captains of the new global order, that the world would be their oyster,
open for the raw exploitation of the international working class. At first
it did seem that this program was succeeding, but since the end of the
nineties, the aggressive brand of capitalism has suffered setbacks. Its
united front has vanished. Conflicts of interest between Japan and the
US, between the latter and Russia, as well as difficulties in stabilizing
the Middle East, all show that capitalists cannot avoid competing with
each other. The first victims of such competition are indeed the poor.
As the market shrinks, however, and as smaller countries like Saudi Arabia
increase their demands, the conflicts among the larger capitalist nations
will gain in intensity.
Already we can find innumerable examples of dissatisfaction with America's
manner of managing the world. The frictions come to expression in regional
or ethnic wars. In the Balkans we have witnessed an alliance of the US
and Europe against Russia. On the other hand, where the siege on Iraq is
concerned, we see an understanding between France and Russia, quite in
opposition to the US line.
It was difficult to foresee this situation seven years ago, when the
Oslo Accord emerged amid a New World Order that appeared invincible. Today
we can understand how deeply mistaken the Palestinian leadership was, if
it ever really thought it could gain admittance to the club of leading
nations in which Israel belongs. Let it be clear at last - for without
this recognition there can be no progress: The Palestinians belong to the
group of poverty-stricken peoples in Latin America, Asia and Africa. They
must seek solutions in the same arenas that will supply them to those peoples
as well. The Palestinian people has great power of endurance. After all
the suffering it has undergone, it will not accept an agreement that cheats
it of its rights. It has awakened from the delusion of a possible co-existence.
In the light of the new intifada, we can see how hard it is for America
to impose a pro-Israeli order on the region. The influence of Washington
has weakened, as have the corrupt regimes on which that influence depends.
These regimes have weakened because they have failed to supply their peoples
with the minimal necessities of life.
To the Palestinians in revolt, it may appear that the Arab regimes at
last are taking them seriously. Not so. They are merely weaker -more vulnerable,
therefore, to domestic criticism. Scared stiff, they have suddenly re-discovered
their pan-Arab patriotism. This is just hot air. The ability to defeat
Israel does not depend on the will of the Arab peoples or their readiness
to fight, but rather on a change in the total balance of forces. The PA
and the Arab regimes, which accept the US as the undisputed ruler of the
world, are in no position to effect such a change. Israel will not be defeated
until its allies, especially America, lose their ability to dictate the
rules of the game to the greater part of humanity.
Revolutionary movements should not slacken just because the solution
is distant. The search for a quick fix leads nowhere. In the Palestinian
case, neither surrender to Israel nor war will change the imbalance. The
latter will change - but only on two conditions: first, when the conflicts
within the capitalist system reach major proportions, and second, when
the victims of that system can present an alternative that will answer
the needs of humanity as a whole. The need of the hour, therefore, is to
bring the Palestinian people, together with the rest of the Arab world,
back into the anti-imperialist camp - and not let their leaders deceive
them. This includes combating the corruption and duplicity of the Arab
regimes, PA included. It is time to replace them with democratic leaderships
that will take the defeat of the Israeli Occupation as a long-term strategic
goal.
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